The 2024 election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appears closer than ever as the race enters its final week.
Pollsters and forecasters are saying that Trump has the slight edge over the Democratic candidate, but that it could still go either way.
Trump’s national average numbers have improved slightly against Harris since last week, although most prominent aggregators still show the vice president ahead overall. The battle between Harris and Trump in the seven key swing states that could ultimately decide the election remains a toss-up, with the candidates either virtually tied or only marginally ahead in various polls.
Veteran pollster Nate Silver, who founded 538 and now uses a similar forecasting model for his Silver Bulletin blog, recently wrote in The New York Times that labeling the race a 50-50 toss-up is the “only responsible forecast.” Silver added that his “gut” feeling suggests Trump will win the Electoral College count.
Harris’ clearest path to victory in November would hinge on winning the three blue-wall battleground states of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, barring any shock results elsewhere. Trump’s most efficient route to 270 Electoral College votes would involve winning Pennsylvania, Georgia and North Carolina.
Read more at Newsweek.com
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