On February 24, tens of thousands of Russian troops invaded Ukraine with the military aim of securing the capital in a matter of days. That operation failed when Ukrainians, both those in uniform and those in civil society, banded together to defend their country.
However, as redeployed Russian forces make incremental territorial gains in Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region, momentum appears to be shifting back in the Kremlin’s favor. While Russia’s initial hopes of an easy victory were quickly dashed, its capacity to fight a protracted campaign means that Vladimir Putin’s ultimate goal of incapacitating the Ukrainian state remains achievable.
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